Order ID:89JHGSJE83839 | Style:APA/MLA/Harvard/Chicago | Pages:5-10 |
Instructions:
Correlation Between Social Distancing and New COVID-19 Infections
Question Description
In one of many attempts to better understand the correlation between social distancing and new COVID-19 infections, the Signer Lab at the University of California San Diego had reported that a single infected person on average may lead to a total of 2.5, 15 or 406 COVID-19 infections over a one moth period.
Suppose that starting from a single infected person and without any social distancing measures in place, the number of new infections over a 5-day period follows a uniform distribution between 0 and 5 (this is consistent with the frequently stated average transmissibility, attack rate or reproduction number R0 of 2.5). Develop a simulation model for the total number of resulting COVID-19 infections over a one-moth period (i.e., 30 days). Give its average and show its distribution using a histogram or another suitable visualization. You may assume that an infected individual will unknowingly spread COVID-19 over a five-day incubation period only; after this period, the individual will begin to develop symptoms, immediately self-quarantine, and no longer pose a threat.
How will your answers change if social exposure can be reduced by 50% or 75% respectively?
You may assume a direct linear correlation of social interactions and R0; e.g., if social exposure is reduced by 50% (or 75%), R0 will follow a uniform distribution of only up to 2.5 (or 1.25) with a mean of 1.25 (or 0.625). Can you confirm the findings of the Signer Lab, and why or why not?
RUBRIC |
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Excellent Quality 95-100%
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Introduction
45-41 points The background and significance of the problem and a clear statement of the research purpose is provided. The search history is mentioned. |
Literature Support 91-84 points The background and significance of the problem and a clear statement of the research purpose is provided. The search history is mentioned. |
Methodology 58-53 points Content is well-organized with headings for each slide and bulleted lists to group related material as needed. Use of font, color, graphics, effects, etc. to enhance readability and presentation content is excellent. Length requirements of 10 slides/pages or less is met. |
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Average Score 50-85% |
40-38 points More depth/detail for the background and significance is needed, or the research detail is not clear. No search history information is provided. |
83-76 points Review of relevant theoretical literature is evident, but there is little integration of studies into concepts related to problem. Review is partially focused and organized. Supporting and opposing research are included. Summary of information presented is included. Conclusion may not contain a biblical integration. |
52-49 points Content is somewhat organized, but no structure is apparent. The use of font, color, graphics, effects, etc. is occasionally detracting to the presentation content. Length requirements may not be met. |
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Poor Quality 0-45% |
37-1 points The background and/or significance are missing. No search history information is provided. |
75-1 points Review of relevant theoretical literature is evident, but there is no integration of studies into concepts related to problem. Review is partially focused and organized. Supporting and opposing research are not included in the summary of information presented. Conclusion does not contain a biblical integration. |
48-1 points There is no clear or logical organizational structure. No logical sequence is apparent. The use of font, color, graphics, effects etc. is often detracting to the presentation content. Length requirements may not be met |
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Correlation Between Social Distancing and New COVID-19 Infections |
Correlation Between Social Distancing and New COVID-19 Infections