Order ID:89JHGSJE83839 | Style:APA/MLA/Harvard/Chicago | Pages:5-10 |
Instructions:
Intelligence Mysteries in Foreign Policy Discussion
FIRST:
I’m looking for someone who does not use Chegg or Course Hero or any online cites to provide your answers. The professor checks these other sites as well. If you do this to provide your answers and don’t use your own, let me know immediately so I can choose someone else to assist me. I have been notified that an assignment was linked to Chegg or Course Hero etc.
Someone that uses their own words, so nothing can be found on the internet.
Someone who does not Plagiarize others work from online websites.
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QUESTION
What are “mysteries”? Discuss several foreign policy problems in which mysteries were involved from the intelligence perspective. Again, please feel free to use examples not mentioned in this week’s readings.
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Background
“The business of intelligence analysis often entails distinguishing between “secrets” and “mysteries.” Most laymen and even seasoned intelligence professionals fail to appreciate the differences between secrets and mysteries.
Secrets are concrete pieces of information that can be “stolen” from foreign adversaries. The methods of theft are human agents, diplomatic and defense attaché sources, intercepted communications, and over-head imagery. Secrets are knowable facts that can be gathered by intelligence means. The number of nuclear warheads and ballistic missiles in Russian and Chinese military inventories would be examples of secrets that are knowable facts that can be gathered by American intelligence methods. Some intelligence professionals also refer to secrets as puzzles, which can be answered with the right intelligence collection.
Mysteries, on the other hand, are the marshaling of secrets, public information, and expert analysis to gauge how international situations are going to develop or trend or predictions about what is to come. Intelligence analysts are asked by policy makers and military commanders to answer mysteries. How stable is a foreign government? Is it vulnerable to a military coup or revolution by Islamic militants? The critically important political, military, and societal players in foreign countries do not even know the answers to these mysteries. And yet, American intelligence consumers have a right to ask their intelligence analysts for their best assessments of such mysteries.
Distinguishing between secrets and mysteries often illuminates the origins of failures in intelligence. When one begins to study a perceived intelligence failure it is often useful to ask two questions. Did American intelligence collectors fail to gather specific pieces of intelligence or secrets that would have revealed the surprise to policy makers? Or did CIA analysts fail to fuse sufficient subject matter expertise to a mosaic of secrets to accurately forecast the trends that ended up surprising policy makers? ”
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Readings:
https://fas.org/irp/commission/testnye.htm
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Requirements:
500 Words
2 additional Sources besides readings
RUBRIC |
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Excellent Quality 95-100%
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Introduction
45-41 points The background and significance of the problem and a clear statement of the research purpose is provided. The search history is mentioned. |
Literature Support 91-84 points The background and significance of the problem and a clear statement of the research purpose is provided. The search history is mentioned. |
Methodology 58-53 points Content is well-organized with headings for each slide and bulleted lists to group related material as needed. Use of font, color, graphics, effects, etc. to enhance readability and presentation content is excellent. Length requirements of 10 slides/pages or less is met. |
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Average Score 50-85% |
40-38 points More depth/detail for the background and significance is needed, or the research detail is not clear. No search history information is provided. |
83-76 points Review of relevant theoretical literature is evident, but there is little integration of studies into concepts related to problem. Review is partially focused and organized. Supporting and opposing research are included. Summary of information presented is included. Conclusion may not contain a biblical integration. |
52-49 points Content is somewhat organized, but no structure is apparent. The use of font, color, graphics, effects, etc. is occasionally detracting to the presentation content. Length requirements may not be met. |
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Poor Quality 0-45% |
37-1 points The background and/or significance are missing. No search history information is provided. |
75-1 points Review of relevant theoretical literature is evident, but there is no integration of studies into concepts related to problem. Review is partially focused and organized. Supporting and opposing research are not included in the summary of information presented. Conclusion does not contain a biblical integration. |
48-1 points There is no clear or logical organizational structure. No logical sequence is apparent. The use of font, color, graphics, effects etc. is often detracting to the presentation content. Length requirements may not be met |
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Intelligence Mysteries in Foreign Policy Discussion |
Intelligence Mysteries in Foreign Policy Discussion