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Instructions:
Nominal Growth And Real Growth
All of these questions should be answerable in one sentence, or by a single calculation. But they will require some thought on your part.
Question 1: First, a simple practice calculations in Real and Nominal Growth and the Inflation Rate since this kind calculation will appear on your midterm.
(a) What is the real GDP growth rate from 2005 to 2006?
(b) What is the Nominal GDP growth rate from 2005 to 2006?
(c) What is the inflation rate from 2005 to 2006? (It will be the difference between nominal growth and real growth.)
Question 2: Interpreting GDP growth
Recall that as you approach the peak of a business cycle, real growth is positive but slowing down. Prices do not fall (negative inflation rate) until the economy is into its downturn. Where does the peak of the cycle occur in this quarterly data? In other words, what is the last quarter before the inflation rate becomes negative?
Question 3: Interpreting Business Expectations
(a) Look at the Inventory/Sales picture, Graph Set #1, showing the I/S ratio from 2002 to 2011. If a build-up of inventories acquired at high marginal cost is a first sign of impending recession, when should our economy have sounded the alarm that trouble was coming? When do inventories start to climb relative to sales?
Question 4: Unemployment and Labor Force Participation
(a) Look at the Unemployment rate in 2005 and 2006 on Data Set #1. If rising unemployment is a first sign on impending recession, when should our economy have sounded the alarm that trouble was coming? When does the unemployment rate start to climb?
(b) Look at the growth rate in the Civilian Labor Force and the Labor Force Participation Rate from March 2007 to December 2009, Graph Set #1. Is there a ‘discouraged worker’ phenomenon? In other words, is there a drop in the unemployment rate even though other indicators such as growth are showing that we are still in a recession?
Question 5: Profiling the Business Cycle
According to Wesley Claire Mitchell’s profile of the business cycle, events should occur in the following order:
From the information in Data Set #1, do you agree that the crisis evolved as Mitchell describes in his profile? In no more than one or two sentences, how did this real crisis differ from Mitchell’s profile?
RUBRIC |
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Excellent Quality 95-100%
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Introduction
45-41 points The background and significance of the problem and a clear statement of the research purpose is provided. The search history is mentioned. |
Literature Support 91-84 points The background and significance of the problem and a clear statement of the research purpose is provided. The search history is mentioned. |
Methodology 58-53 points Content is well-organized with headings for each slide and bulleted lists to group related material as needed. Use of font, color, graphics, effects, etc. to enhance readability and presentation content is excellent. Length requirements of 10 slides/pages or less is met. |
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Average Score 50-85% |
40-38 points More depth/detail for the background and significance is needed, or the research detail is not clear. No search history information is provided. |
83-76 points Review of relevant theoretical literature is evident, but there is little integration of studies into concepts related to problem. Review is partially focused and organized. Supporting and opposing research are included. Summary of information presented is included. Conclusion may not contain a biblical integration. |
52-49 points Content is somewhat organized, but no structure is apparent. The use of font, color, graphics, effects, etc. is occasionally detracting to the presentation content. Length requirements may not be met. |
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Poor Quality 0-45% |
37-1 points The background and/or significance are missing. No search history information is provided. |
75-1 points Review of relevant theoretical literature is evident, but there is no integration of studies into concepts related to problem. Review is partially focused and organized. Supporting and opposing research are not included in the summary of information presented. Conclusion does not contain a biblical integration. |
48-1 points There is no clear or logical organizational structure. No logical sequence is apparent. The use of font, color, graphics, effects etc. is often detracting to the presentation content. Length requirements may not be met |
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Nominal Growth And Real Growth |
Nominal Growth And Real Growth